Problem 1 :
At a fete, cards bearing numbers 1 to 1000, one number on one card are put in a box. Each player selects one card at random and that card is not replaced. If the selected card has a perfect square number greater than 500, the player wins a prize. What is the probability that (i) the first player wins a prize (ii) the second player wins a prize, if the first has won?
Solution :
Sample space = {1, 2, 3, 4, ..............1000}
n(S) = 1000
Let "A" be the event of selecting a card that is a perfect square greater than 500.
A = { 232, 242, 252, 262, 272, 282, 292, 302, 312 }
n(A) = 9
(i) the first player wins a prize
By picking one of the cards from A, he may win the prize
P(A) = n(A)/n(S)
P(A) = 9/1000
(ii) the second player wins a prize, if the first has won?
"B" be the event of second player wins a prize.
n(B) = 8, n(S) = 1000 - 1 = 999 (the carded picked in (i) is not replaced)
P(B) = n(B)/n(S)
P(B) = 8/999
Problem 2 :
A bag contains 12 blue balls and x red balls. If one ball is drawn at random (i) what is the probability that it will be a red ball? (ii) If 8 more red balls are put in the bag, and if the probability of drawing a red ball will be twice that of the probability in (i), then find x.
Solution :
Total number of balls = blue balls + red balls
n(S) = 12 + x
(i) what is the probability that it will be a red ball?
Let "A" be the event of selecting a red ball
n(A) = x
P(A) = n(A) / n(S)
P(A) = x / (12 + x)
(ii) If 8 more red balls are put in the bag, and if the probability of drawing a red ball will be twice that of the probability in (i), then find x.
Number of red balls after placing 8 more red balls = x+8
P(B) = n(B)/n(S)
n(B) = (x + 8)
P(B) = (x + 8)/(12 + x + 8)
= (x + 8)/(20 + x)
P(B) = 2P(A)
(x + 8)/(20 + x) = 2x / (12 + x)
(x + 8)(12 + x) = 2x (20 + x)
12x + x2 + 96 + 8x = 40x + 2x2
2x2 - x2 + 40x - 20x - 96 = 0
x2 + 20x - 96 = 0
(x - 4) (x + 24) = 0
x = 4 and x = -24 (not admissible)
By applying the value of x in P(A), we get
P(A) = 4/(12 + 4)
= 4/16
P(A) = 1/4
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